An often heard mantra this season has been "Suck for Luck" which refers to Stanford QB Andrew Luck, a Heisman finalist and the current favorite to win the honor this year.
The general prognosis on this guy is that he is the most pro ready quarterback in the bunch that will be likely entering the draft this year. Many thought he could have been a top pick last year had he come out after his sophomore year.
Personally, I just don't buy it. Part of the reason is that I think there has been so much hype around this kid that unless the Colts win the Super Bowl within his first two seasons he'll be called the next JaMarcus Russell. No one is ever as good as the hype, and with the holes that the Colts have on the offensive line not to mention the absence of a running game, Luck will need a whole lot of luck to make the team 8-8 or even competitive in most of their games.
Plus, I'm just not that big of a fan. Two years ago he had the nation's leading rusher helping him out (Toby Gerhart). Last season and this season it's been Stepfan Taylor; a solid running back, but definitely no Gerhart.
My biggest beef with Luck is that I don't think he really does enough and the last two weeks are proof positive of that. He looked awful against the Ducks and was not much better against a lesser talented Cal team last weekend.
I know I'm not offering a whole lot to back up my claim, but I just got a gut feeling about this guy. Accolades don't mean crap in the NFL. Everyone thought the Texans were nuts when they didn't take Reggie Bush with the top pick a few years back. Matt Leinart's career has been a joke so far. In fact, when was the last time that a Heisman winner really had a meaningful career.
The problem is that the college game can be tailored to make certain players look much better than they are. Everyone being considered for the Heisman this year has a few games on their schedule that are stat padders--the Heisman contender is going to get a chance to pad his stats to make his candidacy look better (Trent Richardson last weekend).
I keep having images in my head of Ryan Leaf and Andrew Luck being one in the same (minus the personality quirks that Leaf had). Leaf was also a PAC-10 Player of the Year, Heisman finalist, and had much better stats in his final college season than Luck...
My opinion of Luck is not helped by the fact that I think the Colts need a running back first. They have not had a running game in forever; if they had ever gotten one during Manning's heyday I would bet that they would have multiple Super Bowls under their belts instead of just one.
A solid running back will take the pressure of the new QB or give an aging Manning some much-needed help (not to mention protection if teams have to start respecting the run when they play Indy). There will be enough QBs in the draft this year that I think the Colts can get a good one in the second round too--Texas A&M's Ryan Tannehill, Baylor's Robert Griffin III, Houston's Case Keenum, Boise State's Kellen Moore, Oklahoma's Landry Jones, Oklahoma State's Brandon Weeden, Miami's Jacory Harris (slight project with this guy, but a solid pickup).
Now Luck may very well be the guy. I don't have the time to study the stats and watch every game on every promising QB. Before we go ahead and hand him the team I think we need to take a closer look at what is out there as well as what the team needs.